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We’ve got a fun one this Saturday as Crystal Palace and Everton go head-to-head at Selhurst Park. Always interesting when AccuScore sim data and offshore picks are on opposite sides of the money line.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Crystal Palace: 3.09
• Draw: 3.28
• Everton FC: 2.49
Spread
• Crystal Palace +0.5: 1.62
• Everton FC -0.5: 2.44
Total
• Over 2: 1.64
• Under 2: 2.35
Draw: There’s a about an 30.5 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in 26 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.
The projected score is 1.71 – 1.03, in favor of Crystal Palace.
Trends: Everton had quite a strong finish to last season. They won five of their last eight, but more importantly, recorded six clean sheets in that span. Home victories against the likes of Chelsea and Arsenal pointed to a strong future for the squad. Will they come in to this season with that same level of momentum?
Last 6: Looking back into last season, Crystal Palace has 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last six overall. Their most recent outing was in early May when they won a 5-3 home matchup vs Bournemouth. Everton has 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last six overall. Their last league fixture was in May when they finished in a road 2-2 draw vs Tottenham.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in April 2019, finishing in a goalless draw.
Cenk Tosun has a 33 percent chance to score for Everton. He averages 1.57 shots overall per sim, 0.62 shots on goal per and 0.40 goals per sim.
For Crystal Palace, we’ll have our eyes on Michy Batshuayi. He has close to a 37 percent chance to score, averaging 2.25 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
Crystal Palace to win. .
There’s a 32 percent chance Crystal Palace win this match. They win 51 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting quite a bit of side value on the pick.
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