Stamford Bridge is the venue as Chelsea and Fulham go head-to-head in the Premier League in five years. Chelsea will look to bounce back from a 1-3 road loss to Tottenham, while Fulham looks to build off a 3-2 win at home vs Southampton.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea FC: 1.18
• Draw: 8.24
• Fulham FC: 16.16
Spread
• Chelsea -2: 1.79
• Fulham FC +2: 2.16
Total
• Over 3.5: 1.98
• Under 3.5: 1.92
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 8.24 — indicate there’s a 12 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in close to 18 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.6 – 0.85, in favor of Chelsea.
Last 6: Chelsea has 1 loss, 1 draw and four wins in their last six matches overall. Fulham has 1 win and five losses in that span.
Difference in Talent: Let’s be honest — there’s a clear separation of talent between these two sides. They currently stand 28 points apart in the Premier League standings.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in 2013. Chelsea recorded a 3-1 victory after a 0-0 tie at the break.
Projected Leaders
Aleksander Mitrovic is projected to lead Fulham with a 29-to-30 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.12 shots overall per sim, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, we’ll have our eyes on Eden Hazard who has a 59-to-59 percent chance to score. Hazard averages 2.98 shots overall per sim, 1.53 shots on goal per and 0.85 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The UNDER.
Odds — at 1.92 — indicate there’s about a 52 percent chance the total combined score stays below 3.5 goals. That happens in close to 55 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added value on the pick. The average combined score in AccuScore sims is 3.45 goals.
The UNDER is a four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
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