Chelsea clashes with Brentford in what promises to be an entertaining game on Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 home win against Newcastle United on March 13 while Brentford lost 2-1 on the road against Leicester City on March 20. Chelsea is in third place in the Premier League standings with 59 points in 28 games while Brentford is in 15th place with 30 points in 30 games.
The player to watch in this game is Mason Mount, who has eight goals and seven assists in 24 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Mount a 34.44 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 71 SCA and 10 GCA in 24 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 1.37
• Brentford: 8.80
• Draw: 4.90
Spread
• Chelsea: -1, -1.5: 1.90
• Brentford: +1, +1.5: 2.03
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.88
• Under 2.5: 2.02
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Chelsea, coming off a 1-0 home win against Newcastle United on March 13, have 5 wins, 0 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Brentford, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Leicester City on March 20, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Chelsea has been on an upward trend — with 5 straight wins inn the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 16, 2021 and Chelsea won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Mason Mount has a 34.44 percent chance to score. He averages 1.88 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.
For Brentford, Ivan Toney has a 16.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.12 shots overall per sim, 0.57 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 2.06 to Brentford 0.51.
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