The player to watch in this game is Michail Antonio, who is scoreless in his last four Premier League games but has a 39.02 percent chance to score against Burnley according to AccuScore. Antonio is due for some regression to the mean and he can a difference-maker on Sunday. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley: 3.45
• West Ham United: 2.09
• Draw: 3.55
Spread
• Burnley: 0, +0.5: 2.17
• West Ham United: 0, -0.5: 1.75
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.85
• Under 2.5: 2.03
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Burnley, coming off a 1-0 road loss against Newcastle United last Saturday, have 3 draws, 1 win and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games. West Ham United, coming off a 3-2 home win against Chelsea last Saturday, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Burnley has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 4 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 3 and West Ham United won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Burnley, Chris Wood has a 31 percent chance to score. He averages 1.86 shots overall per sim, 1.16 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
For West Ham United, Michail Antonio has a 39.02 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.97 shots overall per sim, 1.02 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is West Ham United 1.44 to Burnley 1.3.
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