Two teams desperate for points clash on Saturday when Burnley hosts Watford in a game with potential relegation implications. Burnley is in last place in the Premier League standings with 12 points in 18 games while Watford is in 19th place with 14 points in 20 games. Burnley is coming off a 0-0 road draw against Arsenal on January 23 while Watford lost 3-0 at home against Norwich City on January 21.
The player to watch in this game is Ben Mee, who has two goals and zero assists in 14 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Mee a 20.84 percent chance to score against Watford. He has 6 SCA and 0 GCA in 14 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley: 2.21
• Watford: 3.50
• Draw: 3.20
Spread
• Burnley: 0, -0.5: 1.96
• Watford: 0, +0.5: 1.97
Total
• Over 2.5: 2.00
• Under 2.5: 1.90
Key Points to Consider
Momentum: Burnley has been on a downward trend — with three losses in their last 5 Premier League games and eight games without a win in this competition.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on June 25, 2020 and Burnley won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Burnley, Ben Mee has a 20.84 percent chance to score. He averages 1.16 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
For Watford, Emmanuel Dennis has a 21.16 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.85 shots overall per sim, 0.56 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Burnley Moneyline
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Burnley 1.4 to Watford 0.57.
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