Burnley vs Southampton: Premier League Match Preview


Burnley vs Southampton

The No.15 and 16-ranked teams in the Premier League meet this Saturday in a match where AccuScore data is showing some value when compared to offshore picks.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley FC: 2.77
• Draw: 3.35
• Southampton FC: 2.70

• Over 2.5: 2.11
• Under 2.5: 1.80

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 29.8 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 29.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.38 – 1.17, in favor of Southampton.

Own Goals: Southampton lead the league in own goals for the 2018-2019 season with 3.

Cards Galore: Southampton and Burnley are No. 1 and No. 2, respectively, in yellow cards in the 2018-2019 season.

Head to Head: These two sides last met in August of 2018 when they finished in a 0-0 draw. The last two matchups have finished in draws.

Projected Leaders

Danny Ings has a 41 percent chance to score for Southampton. He averages 3.06 shots overall per sim, 1.43 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.

Ashley Barnes has a 28-to-29 percent chance to net the ball for Burnley. Barnes averages 1.47 shots overall per sim, 0.62 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Southampton to win.

There’s a 37 percent chance Southampton win this match. They win over 40 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick.



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