Brighton & Hove Albion get set to match up with Liverpool this Saturday at The American Express Community Stadium in Falmer, East Sussex. Liverpool looks to bounce back from back-to-back losses vs Wolverhampton (1/7) and Manchester City (1/3).
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 9.71
• Draw: 5.65
• Liverpool FC: 1.33
Spread
• Brighton & Hove Albion +1.5: 2.02
• Liverpool FC -1.5: 1.91
Total
• Over 3: 2.08
• Under 3: 1.82
Draw:17.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 19 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw, but not much.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.11 – 0.59, in favor of Liverpool.
Dominating the Opponent: Liverpool have never lost on the road vs Brighton. The last five matchups with Brighton as the host featured 25 goals (16 for Liverpool, 9 for Brighton).
Trend: Liverpool have won their last eight Premier League games kicking off at 3pm on a Saturday. Seven of those eight games have resulted in Liverpool winning by 3 or more goals.
Fun Fact: According to Goal.com, of the 209 Premier League players to have been involved in 100+ duels this season, Liverpool defender Virgil van Dijk has the highest percentage of duels won (75.2%). The only other player that comes close is Brighton defender Shane Duffy.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in August of 2018 when Liverpool won 1-0. Liverpool have defeated Brighton & Hove in their last 6 matches overall — dating back to January 1991.
Mohamed Salah averages 3.7 shots overall per sim, 1.63 shots on goal per and 0.83 goals per sim. He has a 56 percent chance to score.
Glenn Murray has a 22-plus percent chance to score this weekend, averaging 1.12 shots overall per sim, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
Liverpool -1.5
Liverpool winning outright is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. On average, they win simulated matches by a margin of +1.52 goals.
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