Brighton & Hove Albion have a quick turnaround this week as they get set to match up with Everton this Saturday following their 1-1 draw vs Arsenal on Wednesday.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brighton & Hove Albion: 3.54
• Draw: 3.42
• Everton FC: 2.19
Spread
• Brighton & Hove Albion +0.5: 1.80
• Everton FC -0.5: 2.25
Total
• Over 2.5: 2.03
• Under 2.5: 1.87
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in over 34 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 0.86 – 0.83, in favor of Everton.
Last 6: Everton have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last six overall. They are coming off a 5-1 thrashing of Burnley on Wednesday. Brighton & Hove have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last six overall.
Mid-week Debacle: Arsenal’s ever-so-familiar in game substitutions didn’t have the intended effects on Wednesday as major defensive lapses led to a 1-1 draw in the Brighton-Arsenal match. One man’s ‘trash’ is another’s ‘treasure’ though as Brighton & Hove will use the result as a stepping stone to building an unbeaten streak.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action in November 2018 when Everton got the 3-1 win.
Projected Leaders
Gylfi Sigurðsson has a 23 percent chance to net the ball this weekend for Everton. He averages 2.29 shots overall per sim, 0.80 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.
For Brighton & Hove, we’ll have our eyes on Florin Andone who has a similar 23 percent chance to score. Andone averages 1.38 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Brighton +0.5
Odds indicate there’s a 55 percent chance Brighton either wins this match or finishes in a draw. wins this match in regulation. That happens in 66+ percent of AccuScore sims. Offshore odds have Everton as the favorite, but AccuScore sim data has more of the value on either the draw or on Brighton.
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