Aston Villa is in sixth place in the Premier League standings with 47 points in 30 games while Newcastle United is in third place with 56 points in 29 games.
The player to watch in this game is Callum Wilson, who has 10 goals and four assists in 22 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Callum Wilson a 26.78 percent chance to score against Aston Villa. He has 28 SCA and 6 GCA in 22 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 3.20
• Newcastle United 2.29
• Draw: 3.30
Spread
• Aston Villa 0, +0.5 (1.86)
• Newcastle United 0, -0.5 (1.95)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.99)
• Under 2.5 (1.82)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 29 and Newcastle United won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 25.76 percent chance to score. He averages 1.49 shots overall per sim, 1.06 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.
For Newcastle United, Callum Wilson has a 26.78 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.28 shots overall per sim, 0.65 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2.5 (1.82)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Newcastle United 0.9 to Aston Villa 0.97.
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