Arsenal looks to bounce back from a road loss their last time out as they host Southampton at Emirates Stadium. Southampton looks to get back on track after going winless in their last six overall.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal FC: 1.51
• Draw: 4.76
• Southampton FC: 6.33

Spread
• Arsenal FC -1: 1.80
• Southampton FC +1: 2.14

Total
• Over 3: 1.81
• Under 3: 2.09

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Arsenal, fresh off a 2-0 road loss vs Leicester City, have 1 win, 1 loss and 4 draws in their last six overall. Southampton, coming off a 2-1 home loss vs Everton, have 5 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall.

Some Numbers: Arsenal is No. 9 in the league in total shots, and also No. 9 in the league in goals scored. They are only second to Manchester City in corners taken, though. Definitely an aggressive style of play to give themselves plenty of options to score.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Feb. 24, 2019 when Arsenal won, 2-0.

Projected Leaders

Danny Ings has a 32 percent chance to score for Southampton. He averages 3.6 shots overall per sim, 1.42 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has a 66-to-67 percent chance to score for Arsenal. He averages 3.33 shots overall per sim, 1.43 shots on goal per and 1.09 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The OVER.

Three-start (out of four) hot trend pick. Average combined score in sims is 3.88 goals.

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