The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Jesus, who has three goals and three assists in six Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jesus a 39.54 percent chance to score against Everton. He has 20 SCA and 2 GCA in six Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal: 1.36
• Everton: 8.20
• Draw: 5.20
Spread
• Arsenal -1.5 (2.00)
• Everton +1.5 (1.82)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.82)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.00)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 22 and Arsenal won 5-1.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Gabriel Jesus has a 39.54 percent chance to score. He averages 2.15 shots overall per sim, 1.13 shots on goal per and 0.5 goals per sim.
For Everton, Anthony Gordon has an 18.52 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.93 shots overall per sim, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.2 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.44 to Everton 0.75.
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