Arsenal tries to get back on track when they host Chelsea on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 4-1 home loss against Manchester City in the English Carabao Cup last Tuesday while Chelsea beat West Ham United 3-0 at home in the Premier League on Monday. Arsenal is 15th in the Premier League standings with 14 points in 14 games while Chelsea is fifth with 25 points in 14 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal: 4.10
• Chelsea: 1.97
• Draw: 3.65
Spread
• Arsenal: +0.5 (1.99)
• Chelsea: -0.5 (1.94)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.91)
• Under 2.5 (1.99)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Arsenal, coming off a 4-1 home loss against Manchester City in the English Carabao Cup last Tuesday, have 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 6 games overall. Chelsea, coming off a 3-0 home win against West Ham United in the Premier League on Monday, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 games overall.
Momentum: Arsenal has been on a downward trend — with 4 losses in their last 6 games overall.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in English FA Cup action on August 1, 2020 and Arsenal won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Nicolas Pepe has a 13.24 percent chance to score. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, Timo Werner has a 30.42 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.02 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Chelsea Moneyline.
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.68 to Arsenal 0.55.
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