We’ve got a fun one this Saturday at Vitality Stadium as AFC Bournemouth host Fulham in Premier League Action.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth: 1.67
• Draw: 4.32
• Fulham FC: 4.97

Spread
• AFC Bournemouth -1: 2.11
• Fulham FC +1: 1.83

Total
• Over 3: 1.90
• Under 3: 2.00

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 23.1 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 23.3 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting hardly any added side value on the draw.

The average score after 10,000 simulations is 2.25 – 1.43

Last 6: Bournemouth — coming off a 5-0 road victory vs Brighton — have 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall. Fulham — fresh off a 2-0 home victory vs Everton — have 1 win, and 5 losses in their last 6.

Not so Fun Stat: Bournemouth are No. 5 in the Premier League this season in ‘big chances missed.’ It’s an interesting stat because Bournemouth are also No. 7 in the league in goals scored. Imagine if they just capitalized just a bit more on those opportunities? Could be top 5 in goals as well.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in the Premier League on Oct. 27, 2018 when Bournemouth won, 3-0. Fulham last defeated Bournemouth — in any competition — on Jan. 22, 1994.

Projected Leaders

Aleksander Mitrovic has close to a 50 percent chance of scoring for Fulham. Mitrovic averages 3.9 shots overall per sim, 1.37 shots on goal per, and 0.69 goals per sim.

Callum Wilson has a 48 percent chance to net the ball for Bournemouth. Wilson averages 2.53 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The OVER.

There’s a 50 percent chance the total combined score gets to more than 3 goals. The OVER hits in about 51-to-52 percent of AccuScore sims, but it is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. The average total combined score is 3.68 goals per sim.