Vitality Stadium is the venue this Saturday afternoon as Bournemouth and Aston Villa go head-to-head. Some appealing sim data on the total in this one.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth: 2.11
• Draw: 3.70
• Aston Villa: 3.49
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth -0.5: 2.09
• Aston Villa +0.5: 1.84
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.76
• Under 2.5: 2.16
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Bournemouth, coming off a 2-1 home loss v Arsenal in the FA Cup, have 4 losses and 2 wins in their last six overall. Aston Villa, coming off a 2-1 home win vs Leicester in Carabao Cup, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six.
Some Numbers: Villa is No. 9 in the league with 31 goals on the season. Bournemouth is No. 16 in the league with 4 clean sheets — Villa also have 4 on the season.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met on Aug. 17, 2019 when Bournemouth won, 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Jack Grealish has a 25-to-26 percent chance to score for Aston Villa. He averages 1.8 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.
For Bournemouth, Harry Wilson has a 34-to-35 percent chance to score. He averages 2.25 shots overall per sim, 0.92 shots on goal per and 0.43 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The UNDER.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick. Average total/combined score in sims is 2.15 goals.
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