Manchester City clashes with Burnley in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Wednesday. Manchester City is coming off a 3-2 road win against Newcastle United on January 13 while Burnley had a 1-1 home draw against Luton Town on January 12.

Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 43 points in 20 games while Burnley is in 19th place with 12 points in 21 games.

The player to watch in this game is Julián Álvarez, who has six goals and five assists in 20 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Julián Álvarez a 45.28 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 82 SCA and 10 GCA in 20 Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City 1.11
• Burnley 22.00
• Draw: 9.80

Spread
• Manchester City -2.5 (1.87)
• Burnley +2.5 (1.92)

Total
• Over 3.5 (1.90)
• Under 3.5 (1.90)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 11 and Manchester City won 3-0.

Projected Leaders

For Manchester City, Julián Álvarez has a 45.28 percent chance to score. He averages 2.92 shots overall per sim, 1.74 shots on goal per and 0.59 goals per sim.

For Burnley, Lyle Foster has a 14.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.49 shots overall per sim, 0.27 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Manchester City 1.11

Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.83 to Burnley 0.53.

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