Sevilla hosts Real Madrid in a must-win game for the defending La Liga champions next Saturday. Sevilla is coming off a 1-0 road win against Huesca last Saturday while Real Madrid lost 2-0 on the road against Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday. Sevilla is fifth in the La Liga standings with 16 points in nine games while Real Madrid is in fourth place with 17 points in 10 games. The game will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Sevilla: 2.65
• Real Madrid: 2.65
• Draw: 3.60
• Sevilla: 0 (2.00)
• Real Madrid: 0 (1.93)
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.97)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.93)
Key Points to Consider
Sevilla, coming off a 1-0 road win vs Huesca last Saturday, have 5 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 6 games overall. Real Madrid, coming off a 2-0 road loss vs Shakhtar Donetsk in the UEFA Champions League last Tuesday, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 games overall.
Momentum: Sevilla has been on an upward trend — with 5 straight wins.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on January 18, 2020 and Real Madrid won 2-1
For Sevilla, Lucas Ocampos has a 29.32 percent chance to score. He averages 2.08 shots overall per sim, 0.86 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
For Real Madrid, Toni Kroos has a 13.72 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.15 shots overall per sim, 0.44 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the Under in this one. Average score in simulations is Sevilla 1.09 to Real Madrid 0.96.
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