France looks to keep rolling when they collide with Denmark in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group D action on Saturday.
Australia took a 1-0 lead against France, but the defending World Champions proved to be too much for them as the game progressed and they won 4-1 on Tuesday.
Denmark is coming off a surprising 0-0 draw against Tunisia on Tuesday. On paper, Denmark was the better team and should have taken care of business, but Tunisia put up a fight and played a very smart game, coming with away with a valuable point.
The player to watch in this game is Kylian Mbappé, who has 12 goals and two assists in 14 Ligue 1 games with Paris Saint-Germain this season. AccuScore gives Kylian Mbappé a 58.5 percent chance to score against Denmark. He has 50 SCA and 6 GCA in 14 Ligue 1 games with Paris Saint-Germain.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• France 1.89
• Denmark 4.50
• Draw 3.60
Spread
• France -0.5 (1.87)
• Denmark +0.5 (2.05)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (1.94)
• Under 2, 2.5 (1.96)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in UEFA Nations League action on September 25 and Denmark won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For France, Kylian Mbappé has a 58.5 percent chance to score. He averages 3.19 shots overall per sim, 1.79 shots on goal per and 0.88 goals per sim.
For Denmark, Christian Eriksen has a 16 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.02 shots overall per sim, 0.49 shots on goal per and 0.17 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
France didn’t play a perfect game against Australia and they still won 4-1. Denmark has a talented team that plays with chemistry and they already beat France two months ago but what I saw from them against Tunisia concerned me and France is on a completely different level.
France -0.5 (1.87)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on France in this one. Average score in simulations is France 2.05 to Denmark 0.59.
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