Japan came from behind to shock Germany and beat them 2-1 on Wednesday. Japan played with poise, pace and they were relentless when they had chances to attack. Spain crushed Costa Rica 7-0 and they could have won by more goals.
The player to watch in this game is Daichi Kamada, who has seven goals and three assists in 13 Bundesliga games with Eintracht Frankfurt this season. AccuScore gives Daichi Kamada a 24.7 percent chance to score against Costa Rica. He has 40 SCA and 11 GCA in 13 Bundesliga games with Eintracht Frankfurt.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Japan 1.46
• Costa Rica 7.80
• Draw 4.60
Spread
• Japan -1, -1.5 (2.05)
• Costa Rica +1, +1.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 2.5 (2.05)
• Under 2.5 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in international friendly action on September 11, 2018 and Japan won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
For Japan, Daichi Kamada has a 24.7 percent chance to score. He averages 1.04 shots overall per sim, 0.57 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
For Costa Rica, Óscar Duarte has a 14.1 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.98 shots overall per sim, 0.27 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
These two teams are heading in opposite directions, Japan played a perfect game against Germany while Costa Rica didn’t show up against Spain. That said, Costa Rica hit their low and while they will at least put up more of a fight, Japan will be too much for them.
Japan 1.46
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Japan in this one. Average score in simulations is Japan 0.99 to Costa Rica 0.69.
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