Everton clashes with Aston Villa in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Everton is coming off a 1-0 home win against Leeds United on Saturday while Aston Villa lost 4-2 against Arsenal at home on Saturday.
Everton is in 16th place in the Premier League standings with 21 points in 23 games while Aston Villa is in 11th place with 28 points in 23 games.
The player to watch in this game is Ollie Watkins, who has seven goals and four assists in 22 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Ollie Watkins a 23.38 percent chance to score against Everton. He has 51 SCA and 9 GCA in 22 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Everton 2.75
• Aston Villa 2.65
• Draw 3.25
Spread
• Everton 0 (1.95)
• Aston Villa 0 (1.86)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (1.83)
• Under 2, 2.5 (1.99)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 13 and Aston Villa won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Everton, Neal Maupay has a 13.3 percent chance to score. He averages 0.55 shots overall per sim, 0.2 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 23.38 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.4 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2, 2.5 (1.99)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 0.81 to Everton 0.62.
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