Chelsea clashes with AFC Bournemouth in what promises to be a very entertaining game on December 27. Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Newcastle United on November 12 while AFC Bournemouth beat Everton 3-0 at home on November 12.
Chelsea is in eighth place in the Premier League standings with 21 points in 14 games while AFC Bournemouth is in 14th place with 16 points in 15 games.
The player to watch in this game is Mason Mount, who has two goals and two assists in 14 Premier League game this season. AccuScore gives Mason Mount a 35.94 percent chance to score against AFC Bournemouth. He has 30 SCA and 3 GCA in 14 Premier League game this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 1.34
• AFC Bournemouth 8.80
• Draw: 5.40
Spread
• Chelsea -1.5 (1.94)
• AFC Bournemouth +1.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.82)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.00)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 29, 2020 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Mason Mount has a 35.94 percent chance to score. He averages 1.87 shots overall per sim, 0.95 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.
For AFC Bournemouth, Kieffer Moore has a 19.46 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.46 shots overall per sim, 0.31 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2.5, 3 (2.00)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.84 to AFC Bournemouth 0.79.
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