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Brighton & Hove, fresh off a 3-2 victory at home vs Everton, will look to keep building momentum at Amex Stadium this weekend as they host Norwich City.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Brighton & Hove: 1.78
• Draw: 4.11
• Norwich City: 4.48
• Brighton & Hove -0.5: 1.77
• Norwich City +0.5: 2.19
• Over 3: 2.23
• Under 3: 1.71
Last 6: Brighton has 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last six overall. They have won their last two home matchups, though, vs the likes of Everton and Tottenham. Norwich has 4 losses, 1 draw and 1 win in their last six overall.
Look at the Numbers: Norwich are just No. 16 in the league in total shots taken, and No. 14 in goals scored. On pace for the kinds of shots they’re taking. Their biggest struggles, though, have come at the other end of the ball in terms of limiting opportunities for the opposing side. They are No. 2 in the league in saves, meaning they’re being attacked quite often.
Yellow Cards: Norwich are No. 15 in the league with 16 yellow cards this season. Brighton are No. 17 with 13.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in any competition (League Championship) back on April 21, 2017 when Norwich won, 2-0.
For Norwich City, Teemu Pukki has a 31 percent chance to score. Pukki averages 2.52 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
For Brighton & Hove, Neal Maupay has close to a 64 percent chance to score. Paupay averages 4.62 shots overall per sim, 1.95 shots on goal per and 1.02 goals per sim.
Brighton & Hove -0.5
Simulation data has even more confidence on the favorites than do handicappers. Brighton winning outright is a three-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average margin of victory in sims is Brighton +1.66 goals.
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