Always a good Premier League slate with Norwich City in the mix. They match up this Saturday with Aston Villa at Carrow Road and AccuScore simulations have some value picks in this one.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 2.25
• Draw: 3.80
• Aston Villa: 2.94

Spread
• Norwich City -0.5: 2.38
• Aston Villa +0.5: 1.65

Total
• Over 3: 1.91
• Under 3: 1.99

What to Watch For

Draw: There’s a 26 percent chance this match ends in a draw. That happens in under 24 percent of simulations, suggesting no added value on the pick.

The projected score is 2.14 – 1.44, in favor of Norwich City.

Last 6: Norwich City have just one win, and five losses in their last six overall. They’re coming off a 2-0 road loss vs Crystal Palace. Aston Villa have 2 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws in their last six overall. They are coming off a 2-2 home draw vs Burnley.

Bad Defense: Norwich City are second in the league in goals conceded (16).

Shots on Goal: Aston Villa are No. 6 in the league in shots on goal so far (33); Norwich City are No. 12 in the league (29).

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up (League Championship) in May of 2019 when Norwich City won, 2-1. They last played in the Prem back in 2016 when Aston Villa won, 2-0.

Projected Leaders

John McGinn has a 27 percent chance to score for Aston Villa. He averages 2.76 shots overall per sim, 1 shot on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.

Teemu Pukki has a 63 percent chance to score for Norwich City. He averages 3.57 shots overall per sim, 1.67 shots on goal per and 1 goal per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Norwich City to win.

Picks indicate Norwich have a 44 percent chance to win this matchup. They win 51+ percent of simulations, suggesting some added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

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