Fulham have their backs against the wall after losing four straight Premier League matches. They’re sitting in the No. 18 spot in the rankings as they go into Monday’s matchup with Huddersfield Town, who remain at the bottom of the table.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value’s at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Huddersfield Town: 2.34
• Draw: 3.36
• Fulham FC: 3.27
Spread
• Huddersfield Town -0.5: 2.35
• Fulham FC +0.5: 1.68
Total
• Over 2.5: 2.09
• Under 2.5: 1.81
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds — at 3.36 — indicate there’s a 29.7 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 31 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added value on the draw — but not much.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.15 – 1.06, in favor of Fulham. .
Most Recent Matchup: These two sides last met in April of 2017 in Championship league action when Fulham won 4-1; all five goals were scored in the first half.
Head-to-Head: Fulham are 4-2-0 in their last six overall vs Huddersfield, with a 16-4 goal advantage in that span.
Rough Start: After spending £33.5m this offseason after a promising survival last year, Huddersfield Town has just four goals scored heading into Monday’s match. Huddersfield recorded seven shots on target last time out vs Watford, but still lost 3-0.
Recent Streak: In Fulham’s last four Premier League matches — all of which have been losses — they have given up 15 goals.
Lone Win: The only win either team has gotten this season was Fulham’s 4-2 result over Burnley on Aug. 26.
Projected Leaders
Aleksandar Mitrovic has a 37-to-38 percent chance to score for Fulham. He averages over two shots overall per sim, 0.78 shots on goal per, and 0.46 goals per sim. Second behind him is André Schürrle with a 20-to-21 percent chance to score.
For Huddersfield, we’ll have our eyes on Alex Pritchard and Isaac Mbenza who both have a 19-to-20 percent chance to score. Pritchard averages 1.98 shots overall per sim, 0.67 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim. Mbenza averages 1.18 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Fulham to win
We’re always interested when AccuScore sim data and oddsmakers differ on who is the ‘favorite.’
Odds — at 3.27 — indicate there’s a 30.5 percent chance Fulham win this game. They’re technically slight underdogs in most offshore books. They win close to 37 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. AccuScore sim data would have listed Fulham as slight favorites.
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