Fulham and Burnley go head-to-head this Saturday at Turf Moor as Burnley looks to build on its 3-game winning streak spanning both Premier League and FA Cup action.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this match.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Burnley FC: 2.39
• Draw: 3.22
• Fulham FC: 3.32
Spread
• Burnley FC -0.5: 2.08
• Fulham FC +0.5: 1.85
Total
• Over 2: 1.69
• Under 2: 2.26
Draw: Picks indicate there’s a 31 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 28.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.39 – 1.17, in favor of Burnley.
Last 6: Burnley have three wins ans three losses in their last six overall. Fulham have one win, three losses and two draws in their last six overall.
Trend: Burnley are 3-1-6 overall in their last 10 games at home — having won 10 points from a possible 30.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action in August of 2018 when Fulham won 4-2.
Aleksander Mitrovic averages 3.19 shots overall per sim, 1.15 shots on goal per and 0.58 goals per sim. He has a 43-to-44 percent chance to score.
Ashley Barnes has a 31-plus percent chance to score this weekend for Burnley, averaging 1.71 shots overall per sim, 0.69 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
Burnley to win.
Burnley winning this match in regulation is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend. AccuScore sim data project this to be a closer match than most offshore picks indicate — giving Fulham more of a fighting chance than the picks indicate — but Burnley still wins over 40 percent of sims.
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