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In potentially one of the better matchups this weekend, Crystal Palace hit the road for a matchup with Cardiff City. AccuScore has a slightly different take on this game compared to offshore odds makers.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Cardiff City: 2.60
• Draw: 3.46
• Crystal Palace: 2.81
• Cardiff City -0.5: 2.20
• Crystal Palace +0.5: 1.76
• Over 2.5: 2.00
• Under 2.5: 1.90
Draw: There’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 30.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.47 – 1.27, in favor of Crystal Palace.
Last 5: Cardiff City have 4 losses and 1 win in their last 5 overall. Crystal Palace have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw.
Building Momentum on the Road: Crystal Palace have been surprisingly better on the road than expected. They have the sixth-best road record this season, collecting 26 points on 8 away matches so far.
Head to Head: These two sides already played once at Selhurst Park, finishing in a goalless draw in London. Crystal Palace had 31 goal attempts in that match.
Luka Milivojevic has a 27-to-28 percent chance to score for Crystal Palace. He averages 1.84 shots overall per sim, 0.71 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.
Oumar Niasse has a 32 percent chance to score for Cardiff. He averages 1.89 shots overall per sim, 0.82 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Crystal Palace to win.
There’s a 35.6 percent chance Crystal Palace win this match. They win 42 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the pick. This is a 4-star (out of four) hot trend pick.