The Bundesliga is finally back! The popular football league in Germany will be played behind closed doors starting on Saturday, May 16. This is the first European football league to restart following the COVID-19 shutdown.

One of the best games of the week will be RB Leipzig hosting SC Freiburg on Saturday. RB Leipzig has exceeded expectations this season and they’re currently third in the standings just five points behind Bayern Munich. SC Freiburg sits at eighth place with 36 points so we should have an exciting contest.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)

• RB Leipzig: 1.35
• SC Freiburg: 9.55
• Draw: 5.49

Spread

• RB Leipzig: -1.5 (1.99)
• SC Freiburg: +1.5 (1.94)

Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.83)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.07)

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: RB Leipzig, coming off 3-0 home win vs Tottenham Hotspur in the UEFA Champions League, have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 overall. SC Freiburg, coming off a 3-1 home win vs Union Berlin in the Bundesliga, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last six overall.

Momentum: RB Leipzig has been on an upward trend — winning three of their last five games in the Bundesliga.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on Oct. 26, 2019 and SC Freiburg won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For RB Leipzig, Timo Werner has a 67.52 percent chance to score. He averages 4.69 shots overall per sim, 2.19 shots on goal per and 1.11 goals per sim.

For SC Freiburg, Nils Petersen has a 20.36 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.32 shots overall per sim, 0.48 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

The Over.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average total score in simulations is 3.76.

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