Mainz clashes with FC Cologne in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Friday. Mainz is coming off a 0-2 road loss against Werder Bremen on Saturday while FC Cologne is coming off a 3-2 home win against FC Augsburg on Sunday.
Mainz is in 10th place in the Bundesliga standings with 15 points in 10 games while FC Cologne is in seventh place with 16 points in 10 games.
The player to watch in this game is Marcus Ingvartsen, who has two goals and zero assists in four Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Ingvartsen a 28.32 percent chance to score against FC Cologne. He has 0 SCA and 0 GCA in four Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Mainz: 2.26
• FC Cologne: 3.10
• Draw: 3.50
Spread
• Mainz 0, -0.5 (1.99)
• FC Cologne 0, +0.5 (1.94)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.88)
• Under 2.5 (2.02)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on April 9 and FC Cologne won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For Mainz, Marcus Ingvartsen has a 28.32 percent chance to score. He averages 0.88 shots overall per sim, 0.44 shots on goal per and 0.34 goals per sim.
For FC Cologne, Steffen Tigges has a 17 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.59 shots overall per sim, 0.24 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Mainz in this one. Average score in simulations is Mainz 1.49 to FC Cologne 0.9.
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