Bayern Munich try to get back on track when they visit FC Cologne on Saturday. Bayern Munich is coming off a disappointing 2-1 home loss against Borussia Moenchengladbach on Friday while FC Cologne beat Hertha Berlin 3-1 on the road on Sunday. FC Cologne is in seventh place in the Bundesliga standings with 28 points in 18 games while Bayern Munich leads the Bundesliga standings with 43 points in 18 games.
The player to watch in this game is Robert Lewandowski, who has 20 goals and one assist in 18 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Lewandowski a 69.54 percent chance to score against FC Cologne. He has 62 SCA and 8 GCA in 18 Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• FC Cologne: 7.40
• Bayern Munich: 1.34
• Draw: 6.00
Spread
• FC Cologne: +1.5, +2: 1.86
• Bayern Munich: -1.5, -2: 2.04
Total
• Over 3.5, 4: 2.01
• Under 3.5, 4: 1.87
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: FC Cologne, coming off a 3-1 road win against Hertha Berlin on Sunday, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Bundesliga games. Bayern Munich, coming off a 2-1 home loss against Borussia Moenchengladbach on Friday, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 5 Bundesliga games.
Momentum: FC Cologne has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 3 Bundesliga games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Budesliga action on August 22, 2021 and Bayern Munich won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For FC Cologne, Anthony Modeste has a 48.52 percent chance to score. He averages 3.28 shots overall per sim, 1.19 shots on goal per and 0.66 goals per sim.
For Bayern Munich, Robert Lewandowski has a 69.54 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.13 shots overall per sim, 1.83 shots on goal per and 1.18 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Bayern Munich Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Bayern Munich in this one. Average score in simulations is Bayern Munich 2.61 to FC Cologne 1.45.
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