AFC Bournemouth hosts Everton in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. AFC Bournemouth is coming off a 4-3 road loss against Leeds United on Saturday while Everton lost 2-0 at home against Leicester City last Saturday.
AFC Bournemouth is in 16th place in the Premier League standings with 13 points in 14 games while Everton is in 15th place with 14 points in 14 games.
The player to watch in this game is Kieffer Moore, who has three goals and zero assists in 14 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Moore a 27.34 percent chance to score against Everton. He has 10 SCA and 1 GCA in 14 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth 2.80
• Everton 3.30
• Draw 2.55
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth 0 (2.01)
• Everton 0 (1.81)
Total
• Over 2.5, (2.03)
• Under 2.5 (1.79)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on June 26, 2020 and FC Bournemouth won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For AFC Bournemouth, Kieffer Moore has a 27.34 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.88 shots overall per sim, 0.56 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.
For Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has a 23.76 percent chance to score. He averages 0.93 shots overall per sim, 0.4 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2.5 (1.79)
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is AFC Bournemouth 1.27 to Everton 0.92.
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