AC Milan hosts Monza in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game next Saturday. AC Milan is coming off a 2-1 road win against Hellas Verona on Sunday while Monza lost 1-0 on the road against Empoli last Saturday.
AC Milan is in third place in the Serie A with 23 points in 10 games while Monza is in 13th place with 10 points in 10 games.
The player to watch in this game is Olivier Giroud, who has four goal and two assists in 10 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Giroud a 46.08 percent chance to score against Monza. He has 19 SCA and 3 GCA in 10 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Milan: 1.38
• Monza: 7.60
• Draw: 5.00
Spread
• AC Milan -1, -1.5 (1.85)
• Monza +1, +1.5 (2.08)
Total
• Over 3 (1.97)
• Under 3 (1.93)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: This will be the first Serie A meeting between these two teams.
Projected Leaders
For AC Milan, Olivier Giroud has a 46.08 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.26 shots overall per sim, 0.91 shots on goal per and 0.61 goals per sim.
For Monza, Gianluca Caprari has an 18.1 percent chance to score. He averages 0.82 shots overall per sim, 0.43 shots on goal per and 0.2 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
AC Milan Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on AC Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is AC Milan 2.13 to Monza 0.71.
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