Tottenham host Juventus in the Champions League hoping to upset the European heavyweights and reach the quarter-finals for just the second time in club history. The two sides finished in a 2-2 draw three weeks back in the first-leg.
Key Betting Trends
• The hosts won all three Champions League group-stage games at Wembley.
• Juventus have only won once on on the road this season against European competition.
• Tottenham to win: 2.20
• Draw: 3.47
• Juventus to win: 3.48
Total
• OVER 2.5: 2.04
• UNDER 2.5: 1.86
What to Watch For
Style of Play: Tottenham somehow figured out a way to score two goals against a side that had conceded just one goal in their previous 16 matches. Allegri will look to counter that late attack this time around, and will look to play a lot more aggressively this time around. Tottenham is without Toby Alderweireld and that could prove to be costly.
Hot Spurs: Tottenham is just one of three undefeated teams in the Champions League so far this season – with Liverpool and Barcelona. They have just one clean sheet in their six Champions League matches.
The average score after 10,000-plus simulations is 1.36 – 1.22, in favor of Tottenham.
Head-to-Head: The match a few weeks back was Tottenham’s first meeting with Juventus in a competitive fixture. Tottenham did beat Juventus 2-0 in a friendly last summer at Wembley.
Projected Leaders
Mari Mandzukic is projected to have the highest probability of scoring for Juventus at close to a 35 percent chance of netting the ball. He averages close to 3 shots overall per sim, almost 1 on goal per sim, and 0.41 goals per sim.
Tottenham’s Harry Kane practically scores in 50 percent of simulated matches, averaging 0.68 goals per sim; don’t be surprised if he has multiple shots on goal as the sims suggest.
Analyst’s Pick
UNDER at 1.86.
The Dafabet odds and AccuScore simulation data line up on this wager almost exactly. The odds indicate a 53.7 percent chance of hitting the UNDER at 1.86; our sim data has the total score staying below 2.5 in 53.6 percent of simulations. Again, it’s not a pick with tons of value, but the data shows it’s the way to go. The UNDER is a two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend.
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