The Dallas Mavericks try to even the Western Conference Finals with the Golden State Warriors in Game 2 on Friday.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Golden State Warriors
Friday, May 20, 2022 – 09:00 PM EDT at Chase Center
Game 2 Key: Luka Doncic vs. the Warriors
Luka Doncic doesn’t have a co-star who is on that All-Star level. The Warriors know that. This is a machine that saw prime LeBron and were able to live with him getting 40/8/8 when Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love were out in the NBA Finals in 2015.
Doncic had 20 points, seven rebounds and four assists on 6 of 18 shooting, including 3 of 10 from 3-point range in 35 minutes and he had seven turnovers. The Warriors outscored the Mavs by 30 points when he was on the court. The Mavericks won’t win Game 2 unless Doncic plays a lot better but they also need way more from Jalen Brunson and Spencer Dinwiddie.
X-Factors
We know what the Warriors will get from Curry, Thompson, Green and Poole but it’s Kevon Looney who changes everything. Looney had 10 points, five rebounds and four assists in Game 1 and while he may not provide the spacing that many are so obsessed with, in the playoffs you need a rim protector and grinder.
Special mention to Andrew Wiggins, who added 19 points, five rebounds and three assists on Wednesday. Wiggins was always good, he does it all, he elevates the Warriors on both ends and is perfect in this role.
Today’s Warriors are better than the 2015 Warriors. Jordan Poole and Andrew Wiggins bring a burst of athleticism, energy and scoring outside of Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Golden State Warriors: 1.39
• Dallas Mavericks: 3.20
Spread
• Golden State Warriors: -6.5 (1.93)
• Dallas Mavericks: +6.5 (1.88)
Total
• Over 213.5 (1.87)
• Under 213.5 (1.95)
Betting Trends
The Over is:
• 8-3 in Dallas’ last 11 road games
• 5-2 in Dallas’ last seven games as a road underdog
• 10-4 in Dallas’ last 14 games against a team with a winning straight up record
• 7-3 in Dallas’ last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record
• 8-3 in Golden State’s last 11 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game
• 7-3 in Golden State’s last 10 games following a straight up win
• 12-5 in the last 17 meetings
Projected Leaders
For the Mavericks, Luka Doncic is projected to finish with 32.8 points, 11.6 assists and 10.6 rebounds, making 11.4 field goals in 24.7 attempts.
For the Warriors, Stephen Curry is expected to score 27.4 points with 8.0 assists and 5.1 rebounds, making 7.1 field goals in 17.5 attempts.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 213.5 (1.87)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Golden State Warriors 111.4 to Dallas Mavericks 107.1.
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