A pair of teams both coming off a draw their last time out go head-to-head at Vicarage Road this Sunday. Watford and Arsenal clash in a matchup AccuScore simulation data is showing some side value.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Watford: 3.72
• Draw: 3.88
• Arsenal: 1.99

Spread
• Watford +0.5: 1.91
• Arsenal -0.5: 2.03

Total
• Over 3: 1.96
• Under 3: 1.94

What to Watch For

Draw: Picks indicate there’s a 26 percent chance this matchup ends in a draw. That happens in 20 percent of simulations – suggesting no added value on the pick.

The projected score is 2.34 – 1.07, in favor of Arsenal

Last Time Out: Watford enters this weekend’s matchup following a 1-1 road draw vs Newcastle at the end of August. Arsenal finished in a 2-2 home draw vs Tottenham.

Defense: Arsenal’s defense has been on point to start the season, ranking No. 3 in the league in blocks, and No. 5 in the league in saves.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 15, 2019 when Arsenal won, 1-0.

Projected Leaders

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has close to a 54 percent chance to net the abll for Arsenal. He averages 3+ shots overall per sim, 1.25 shots on goal per and 0.78 goals per sim.

Andre Gray has a 27 percent chance to score for Watford. He averages 1.61 shots overall per sim, 0.68 shots on goal per and 0.32 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Arsenal to win.

Picks indicate there’s a 50-to-51 percent chance for Arsenal to win this matchup. They win close to 65 percent of simulations, suggesting some noticeable value on the pick.

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