Inter Milan hosts Sampdoria in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Sunday. Inter Milan is coming off a 3-1 road win against Cagliari on May 15 while Sampdoria beat Fiorentina 4-1 at home on May 16. Inter Milan is in second place in the Serie A standings with 81 points in 37 games while Sampdoria is in 15th place with 36 points in 36 games.

The player to watch in this game is Lautaro Martínez, who has 21 goals and three assists in 34 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Martinez a 55.18 percent chance to score against Sampdoria. He has 73 SCA and 10 GCA in 34 Serie A games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Inter Milan: 1.21
• Sampdoria: 13.00
• Draw: 7.00

Spread
• Inter Milan: -2: 1.92
• Sampdoria: +2: 1.89

Total
• Over 3, 3.5: 1.84
• Under 3, 3.5: 1.98

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Inter Milan, coming off a 3-1 road win against Cagliari on May 15, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 0 draws in their last 5 Serie A games.

Sampdoria, coming off a 4-1 home win against Fiorentina on May 16, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games.

Momentum: Inter Milan has been on an upward trend — with 4 wins in their last 5 Serie A games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on September 12, 2021 and the game ended in a 2-2 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Inter Milan, Lautaro Martínez has a 55.18 percent chance to score. He averages 2.49 shots overall per sim, 1.47 shots on goal per and 0.8 goals per sim.

For Sampdoria, Francesco Caputo has a 14.74 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.69 shots overall per sim, 0.4 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Inter Milan Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Inter Milan in this one. Average score in simulations is Inter Milan 2.48 to Sampdoria 0.39.

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