Atalanta hosts AC Milan in what should be a very entertaining Serie A game on Saturday. Atalanta is coming off a 3-0 road loss against Torino on Monday while AC Milan beat Frosinone 3-1 at home on Saturday.
Atalanta is in eighth place in the Serie A standings with 20 points in 14 games while AC Milan is in third place with 29 points in 14 games.
The player to watch in this game is Ademola Lookman, who has four goals and two assists in 14 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Ademola Lookman a 33.72 percent chance to score against AC Milan. He has 35 SCA and 4 GCA in 14 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atalanta 2.55
• AC Milan 2.90
• Draw 3.20
Spread
• Atalanta 0 (1.75)
• AC Milan 0 (2.00)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.98)
• Under 2.5 (1.78)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on February 26 and AC Milan won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Atalanta, Ademola Lookman has a 33.72 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.15 shots overall per sim, 0.73 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
For AC Milan, Christian Pulisic has a 22.44 percent chance to score. He averages 0.93 shots overall per sim, 0.64 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Atalanta 2.55
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atalanta in this one. Average score in simulations is Atalanta 1.59 to AC Milan 1.1.
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