Watford clashes with Burnley on Saturday in a game with huge Premier League relegation implications. Watford is coming off a 5-1 road loss against Manchester City on April 23 while Burnley beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 at home on April 24. Watford is in 19th place in the Premier League standings with 22 points in 33 games while Burnley is in 17th place with 31 points in 33 games.
The player to watch in this game is Emmanuel Dennis, who has 10 goals and six assists in 31 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Dennis a 33.26 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 87 SCA and 12 GCA in 31 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Watford: 2.50
• Burnley: 2.85
• Draw: 3.30
• Watford: 0, -0.5: 2.16
• Burnley: 0, +0.5: 1.76
• Over 2. 2.5: 1.82
• Under 2, 2.5: 1.99
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Watford, coming off a 5-1 road loss against Manchester City on April 23, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Burnley, coming off a 1-0 home win against Wolverhampton Wanderers on April 24, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Watford has been on a downward trend — with 4 straight losses in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 5, 2022 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.
For Watford, Emmanuel Dennis has a 33.26 percent chance to score. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.96 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
For Burnley, Wout Weghorst has a 32.48 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.33 shots overall per sim, 0.7 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Watford 1.19 to Burnley 1.01.
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