The player to watch in this game is Michail Antonio, who is scoreless in his last six Premier League games but has a 46.84 percent chance to score against Southampton according to AccuScore. Antonio has six goals and four assists in 16 Premier League games this season. He is due for some regression to the mean and he can a difference-maker on Sunday. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• West Ham United: 1.77
• Southampton: 4.30
• Draw: 3.95
Spread
• West Ham United: -0.5, -1: 2.01
• Southampton: +0.5, +1: 1.92
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.90
• Under 2.5, 3: 2.00
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: West Ham United, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Arsenal on December 15, have 2 draws, 2 losses and 1 win in their last 5 Premier League games. Southampton, coming off a 2-2 road draw against Crystal Palace on December 15, have 3 draws, 2 losses and 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Southampton has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 11 and the game ended on a 0-0 draw.
Projected Leaders
For West Ham United, Michail Antonio has a 46.84 percent chance to score. He averages 2.33 shots overall per sim, 1.14 shots on goal per and 0.63 goals per sim.
For Southampton, Armando Broja has a 19.72 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.77 shots overall per sim, 0.47 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
West Ham United Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is West Ham United 2.35 to Southampton 0.7.
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