Newcastle United hosts Burnley in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Newcastle United is coming off an 8-0 road win against Sheffield United on Sunday while Burnley lost 1-0 at home against Manchester United on Saturday.

Newcastle United is in eighth place in the Premier League standings with nine points in six games while Burnley is in 19th place with one point in five games.

The player to watch in this game is Callum Wilson, who has four goals and zero assists in six Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Callum Wilson a 44.34 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 6 SCA and 1 GCA in six Premier League games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United 1.34
• Burnley 8.40
• Draw: 5.40

Spread
• Newcastle United -1.5 (1.87)
• Burnley +1.5 (1.87)

Total
• Over 3 (1.80)
• Under 3 (1.95)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head:

These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 22, 2022 and Newcastle United won 2-1.

Projected Leaders

For Newcastle United, Callum Wilson has a 44.34 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.29 shots overall per sim, 1.37 shots on goal per and 0.58 goals per sim.

For Burnley, Josh Brownhill has an 8.68 percent chance to score. He averages 0.62 shots overall per sim, 0.29 shots on goal per and 0.09 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Newcastle United 1.34

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Newcastle United in this one. Average score in simulations is Newcastle United 1.71 to Burnley 0.37.

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