Share this story
All eyes will be on Old Trafford this Sunday as Manchester United and Chelsea go head-to-head in Premier League action.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester United: 2.72
• Draw: 3.47
• Chelsea FC: 2.68
• Manchester United +0.5: 1.70
• Chelsea FC -0.5: 2.29
• Over 2.5: 1.88
• Under 2.5: 2.02
Draw: There’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 30 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting some added side value on the draw, but not much.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.31 – 1.05, in favor of Manchester United.
Last 6: Man U — coming off a 4-0 road loss to Everton — has 4 losses and 2 wins in their last 6. Chelsea — fresh off a 2-2 home draw vs Burnley — has 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 6.
Playing with a Sense of Urgency: United are in a must-win situation. Well, sort of. The loss to Everton leaves them two points off the top four — with games against Chelsea and Manchester City coming up.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back on Oct. 20, 2018 when they finished in a 2-2 draw. More recently in Feb 2019, they met in the FA Cup when Manchester United won, 2-0.
Eden Hazard has a 33 percent chance to score for Chelsea. He averages 2.46 shots overall per sim, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.40 goals per sim.
Paul Pogba has a 29-to-30 percent chance to score for Manchester United. He averages 3.13 shots overall per sim, 1.35 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
Man U to win.
There’s a 36-to-37 percent chance Manchester United win this match in regulation. That happens in 40-to-41 percent of simulations, showing some added side value on the pick. This is a 4-star (out of four) hot trend pick.