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Burnley and Leicester City face off this Saturday afternoon at King Power Stadium.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Leicester City: 1.54
• Draw: 4.33
• Burnley FC: 6.67
• Leicester City -1: 1.96
• Burnley FC +1: 1.97
• Over 2.5: 1.95
• Under 2.5: 1.95
Last 6: Following their 2-1 road loss vs Liverpool their last time out, Leicester have 4 wins and 2 losses in their last six overall. Burnley, coming off a 1-0 home win vs Everton, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six overall.
Goals: Leicester City — with 14 on the season so far — are No. 4 in the league in total goals scored. Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea are No. 1, 2, 3.
Aggressive Defense: Leicester City are No.1 in the league with 177 tackles.
Head-to-Head: In last season’s matchup, Burnley won, 2-1.
For Burnley, Ashley Barnes has a 24 percent chance to score. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.62 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
For Leicester City, Jamie Vardy has a 41-to-42 percent chance to score. Vardy averages 1.98 shots overall per sim, 1.07 shots on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.
We definitely think Leicester City will win this matchup, but simulation data is projecting it to be a little closer than picks indicate. Side value on this matchup is on Burnley to stay within a goal.
Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.