Southampton and Everton get set to meet this weekend in Premier League action and AccuScore has some value on the ‘dog in this one.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton FC: 2.59
• Draw: 3.46
• Everton FC: 2.82
• Southampton FC -0.5: 2.63
• Everton FC +0.5: 1.51
• Over 2, 2.5: 2.12
• Under 2, 2.5: 1.79
Draw: There’s a 29 percent chance the match ends in a draw. There’s a draw in 29.1 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added side value on the draw.
The average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.33 – 0.99, in favor of Everton
Home vs Road: Southampton have won just one of their last 10 homes games in the Premier League. Everton has two wins in their last 10 on the road.
Total: On average, Southampton average 1 goal scored per match in their last 10 at home. Everton averages a similar 1 goal per match over its last 10 on the road.
The average combined score in AccuScore sims is 2.32 goals, indicating a pick on the under. There’s a 60-plus percent chance the game stays below 2.5 goals. The under is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.
Head to Head: These two sides last met in Premier League action back in August 2018 when Everton won 2-1. More recently they met in the League Cup in October 2018.
Gylfi Sigurðsson has a 33 percent chance to score for Everton. He averages 2.15 shots overall per sim, 0.71 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
For Southampton, we’ll have our eyes on James Ward-Prowse who has a 20-to-21 percent chance to score. He averages 1.45 shots overall per sim, 0.81 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
Everton to win.
There’s a 35.5 percent chance Everton wins this match. All the side value is on Everton in AccuScore sims, though, as they win close to 44 percent of matchups. The side value is a 4-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick.