Chelsea looks to get back on track when they host Southampton in what should be an intriguing game on Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 home loss against Manchester City on Saturday while Southampton 1-0 at home against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday. Chelsea is in third place in the Premier League standings with 13 points in six games while Southampton is in 16th place with four points in six games.

The player to watch in this game is Romelu Lukaku. Chelsea’s Belgian striker has played four games this season and he has three goals. Look for Lukaku to find more rhythm as the campaign progresses and this home game can help him. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 1.27
• Southampton: 11.00
• Draw: 5.80

Spread
• Chelsea: -1.5: 1.84
• Southampton: +1.5: 2.06

Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.83
• Under 2.5, 3: 2.05

Key Points to Consider

Last 5: Chelsea, coming off a 1-0 home loss against Manchester City on Saturday, have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games. Southampton, coming off a 1-0 home loss against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, have 4 draws, 1 loss and 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.

Momentum: Chelsea has been on an upward trend — with 4 wins in their last 6 Premier League games.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 20 and the game ended on a 1-1 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Chelsea, Romelu Lukaku has a 64.06 percent chance to score. He averages 2.36 shots overall per sim, 1.58 shots on goal per and 1.03 goals per sim.

For Southampton, Adam Armstron has a 26.32 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.17 shots overall per sim, 1.3 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Chelsea Moneyline.

Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 2.4 to Southampton 0.84.

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