Chelsea is in 11th place in the Premier League standings with 11 points in eight games while Arsenal is in second place with 20 points in eight games.
The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has 3 goals and 0 assists in eight Premier League games last season. AccuScore gives Raheem Sterling 47.96 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 30 SCA and 3 GCA in eight Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea 3.25
• Arsenal 2.19
• Draw 3.50
Spread
• Chelsea 0, +0.5 (1.90)
• Arsenal 0, -0.5 (1.85)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.87)
• Under 2.5 (1.87)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 2 and Arsenal won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Raheem Starling has a 47.96 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.69 shots overall per sim, 1.14 shots on goal per and 0.65 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Bukayo Saka has a 31.96 percent chance to score. He averages 1.18 shots overall per sim, 0.65 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Chelsea 3.25
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.8 to Arsenal 1.75.
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