Nottingham Forest hosts Burnley in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 1-0 road win against Chelsea on September 2 while Burnley lost 5-2 at home against Tottenham Hotspur on September 2.
Nottingham Forest is in ninth place in the Premier League standings with six points in four games while Burnley is in 20th place with zero points in four games.
The player to watch in this game is Taiwo Awoniyi, who has three goals and one assist in four Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Taiwo Awoniyi a 31.18 percent chance to score against Burnley. He has 8 SCA and 3 GCA in four Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Nottingham Forest 2.10
• Burnley 3.40
• Draw: 3.55
Spread
• Nottingham Forest 0, -0.5 (1.78)
• Burnley 0, +0.5 (1.98)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.90)
• Under 2.5 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in English League Championship action on February 23, 2016 and Burnley won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Nottingham Forest, Taiwo Awoniyi has a 31.18 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.37 shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
For Burnley, Manuel Benson has a 32.38 percent chance to score. He averages 1.18 shots overall per sim, 0.55 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Nottingham Forest 2.10
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Nottingham Forest in this one. Average score in simulations is Nottingham Forest 1.23 to Burnley 1.08.
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