Aston Villa hosts Southampton in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Aston Villa, coming off a 2-0 road win against Brighton & Hove Albion on February 26 while Southampton beat Norwich City 2-0 at home on February 25. Southampton is in ninth place in the Premier League standings with 35 points in 26 games while Aston Villa is in 12th place with 30 points in 25 games.
The player to watch in this game is Philippe Coutinho, who has two goals and two assists in six Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Coutinho a 30.55 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 15 SCA and 3 GCA in six Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa: 2.24
• Southampton: 3.20
• Draw: 3.45
• Aston Villa: -0.5: 2.16
• Southampton: +0.5: 1.76
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.98
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.90
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Aston Villa, coming off a road 2-0 win against Brighton & Hove Albion on February 26, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Southampton, coming off a 2-0 home win against Norwich City on February 25, have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Southampton has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 4 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on November 5, 2021 and Southampton won 1-0.
For Aston Villa, Philippe Coutinho has a 30.55 percent chance to score. He averages 2.09 shots overall per sim, 0.92 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.
For Southampton, Armando Broja has a 24.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1 shot overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Aston Villa Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 1.45 to Southampton 1.33.
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