Aston Villa hosts Crystal Palace in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Aston Villa is coming off a 3-0 road loss against Liverpool on September 3 while Crystal Palace beat Wolverhampton Wanderers 3-2 at home on September 3.
Crystal Palace is in seventh place in the Premier League standings with seven points in four games while Aston Villa is in 10th place with six points in four games.
The player to watch in this game is Moussa Diaby, who has two goals and one assist in four Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Andreas Pereira a 31.14 percent chance to score against Crystal Palace. He has 11 SCA and 2 GCA in four Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 1.92
• Crystal Palace 3.95
• Draw: 3.65
Spread
• Aston Villa -0.5 (1.87)
• Crystal Palace +0.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.85)
• Under 2.5 (1.90)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on March 4 and Aston Villa won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Moussa Diaby has a 31.14 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.77 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
For Crystal Palace, Eberechi Eze has a 19.46 percent chance to score. He averages 1.42 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Aston Villa 1.92
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 1.34 to Crystal Palace 0.91.
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