Newcastle looks to build on last week’s home win vs Manchester United as they get set to host AFC Bournemouth this Saturday afternoon.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle United: 2.66
• Draw: 3.34
• Bournemouth: 2.82

Spread
• Newcastle United -0.5: 2.47
• Bournemouth +0.5: 1.56

Total
• Over 2.5: 2.05
• Under 2.5: 1.85

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Newcastle, coming off a 3-2 road win vs West Ham, have 2 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws in their last six overall. Bournemouth, coming off a 1-0 home win vs Manchester United, have 1 win, 2 losses and 3 draws in their last six overall.

Clean Sheets: Bournemouth are No. 5 in the league with 3 clean sheets recorded so far.

Limited Passing: Newcastle is dead last in the league in overall passes completed.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action back on March 16, 2019 when they finished in a 2-2 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Bournemouth, Callum Wilson has a 34 percent chance to score. He averages 1.4 shots overall per sim, 0.73 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.

For Newcastle, Jonjo Shelvey has a 16 percent chance to score. Shelvey averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.43 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Bournemouth +0.5

Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick here. Bournemouth wins more simulated matchups than does Newcastle. Average score in sims is 1.36 – 0.97, in favor of Bournemouth.

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