Saudi Arabia looks to keep rolling when they collide with Poland in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group C action on Saturday.
Saudi Arabia stunned Argentina with a come-from-behind 2-1 upset on Tuesday. Argentina took the lead with a Lionel Messi penalty kick but Saudi Arabia played with no fear and pressured Argentina all across the field in a legendary display.
Guillermo Ochoa saved a Robert Lewandowski penalty kick and Poland had to settle with a 0-0 draw against Mexico on Tuesday. Both teams had their chances and it felt like a fair result.
The player to watch in this game is Robert Lewandowski, who has 13 goals and four assists in 14 La Liga games with FC Barcelona this season. AccuScore gives Robert Lewandowski an 80.5 percent chance to score against Saudi Arabia. He has 39 SCA and 7 GCA in 14 La Liga games with FC Barcelona.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Poland 1.75
• Saudi Arabia 5.00
• Draw 3.85
Spread
• Poland -0.5, -1 (2.07)
• Saudi Arabia +0.5, +1 (1.85)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (1.84)
• Under 2, 2.5 (2.06)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in an international friendly on March 28, 2006 and Poland won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Poland, Robert Lewandowski has an 80.5 percent chance to score. He averages 4.5 shots overall per sim, 2.9 shots on goal per and 1.65 goals per sim.
For Saudi Arabia, Haitham Asiri has a 7.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.4 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.08 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
This should be a high-scoring game. Saudi Arabia had a brilliant display against Argentina and they can at least get a goal, while Poland knows this is a must-win game, they saw what Saudi Arabia is capable and they will plan accordingly.
Over 2, 2.5 (1.84)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Poland 2.52 to Saudi Arabia 0.49.
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