The MLS regular season returns this week and Rivalry Week will be in full swing, with Los Angeles FC hosting LA Galaxy on Saturday. The game will be played behind closed doors at Banc of California Stadium in Los Angeles with no fans in attendance because of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Los Angeles FC scored four second half goals in a 6-2 rout of LA Galaxy in the MLS is Back Tournament. Everyone was shocked by this outcome and Galaxy head coach Guillermo Barros Schelotto said that his team quit in the second half.
LAFC lost to Orlando City by penalties in the quarterfinals of the MLS is Back Tournament while Galaxy finished last in their group and winless this year.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Los Angeles FC: 1.43
• LA Galaxy: 6.20
• Draw: 5.20
Spread
• Los Angeles FC: -1, -1.5 (1.82)
• LA Galaxy: +1, +1.5 (2.11)
Total
• Over 3.5, 4 (1.90)
• Under 3.5, 4 (2.00)
Key Points to Consider
Last 5 in the MLS Regular Season:
Los Angeles FC, coming off a 2-2 draw vs Portland Timbers, have 3 draws, 2 wins and 0 losses in their last 5 MLS regular season games. LA Galaxy, coming off a 1-0 win vs Inter Miami FC, have 4 losses, 1 win and 0 draws in their last 5 MLS regular season games.
Momentum: LA Galaxy has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 6 games overall.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in MLS action on July 18, 2020 and Los Angeles FC won 6-2.
Projected Leaders
For Los Angeles FC, Carlos Vela has a 75.18 percent chance to score. He averages 8.58 shots overall per sim, 4.03 shots on goal per and 1.35 goals per sim.
For LA Galaxy, Cristian Pavón has a 41.66 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.77 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Los Angeles FC Moneyline.
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Los Angeles FC in this one. Average score in simulations is Los Angeles FC 2.99 to LA Galaxy 1.53.
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