Paris Saint-Germain clashes with Troyes in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Saturday.

Paris Saint-Germain is coming off a 3-0 road win against AC Ajaccio on Saturday while Troyes had a 2-2 home draw against Lorient on Sunday.

Paris Saint-Germain leads the Ligue 1 standings with 32 points in 12 games while Troyes is in 11th place with 13 points in 12 games.

The player to watch in this game is Kylian Mbappé, who has 10 goals and two assists in 11 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Mbappé a 75.28 percent chance to score against Troyes. He has 41 SCA and 7 GCA in 11 Ligue 1 games this season.

FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Paris Saint-Germain 1.11
• Troyes 22.00
• Draw 9.80

Spread
• Paris Saint-Germain -2.5 (1.92)
• Troyes +2.5 (2.00)

Total
• Over 3.5 (1.83)
• Under 3.5 (2.07)

Key Points to Consider

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on May 8 and the game ended in a 1-1 draw.

Projected Leaders

For Paris Saint-Germain, Kylian Mbappé has a 75.28 percent chance to score. He averages 5.09 shots overall per sim, 3 shots on goal per and 1.4 goals per sim.

For Troyes, Mama Baldé has an 11.26 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.25 shots overall per sim, 0.59 shots on goal per and 0.12 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Paris Saint-Germain Moneyline.

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 3.91 to Troyes 0.41.

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